All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Zionsville Early Bird Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Noblesville JV Invitational |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/5 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
244 | |
200 |
205 |
200 |
253 |
232 |
710 |
271 |
612 |
291 |
326 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
200 |
205 |
200 |
230 |
232 |
244 |
248 |
244 |
291 |
277 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Zionsville Early Bird Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Noblesville JV Invitational |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 19 |
Maggie Powers |
11 |
18:36 |
18:50 |
18:35 |
18:33 |
18:24 |
18:40 |
18:36 |
|
18:43 |
|
18:51 |
18:30 |
| 66 |
Elizabeth Butler |
10 |
19:33 |
19:41 |
19:28 |
19:24 |
19:19 |
19:18 |
19:23 |
|
19:31 |
|
19:50 |
20:05 |
| 112 |
Addison Smith |
10 |
19:50 |
19:32 |
19:38 |
19:43 |
19:40 |
|
19:38 |
|
|
|
20:27 |
|
| 141 |
Catey Campbell |
10 |
20:01 |
20:26 |
19:43 |
19:42 |
19:48 |
20:02 |
20:08 |
|
20:13 |
|
20:05 |
20:06 |
| 193 |
Anaya Lammie |
10 |
20:20 |
20:48 |
19:50 |
19:59 |
20:24 |
20:10 |
20:17 |
|
20:25 |
|
20:23 |
21:05 |
| 209 |
Grace Newton |
12 |
20:24 |
19:51 |
20:25 |
20:16 |
20:02 |
20:25 |
20:18 |
|
20:13 |
|
20:58 |
20:33 |
| 253 |
Ava Powers |
10 |
20:34 |
21:00 |
20:28 |
20:16 |
19:58 |
20:32 |
20:23 |
|
20:49 |
|
21:09 |
|
| 289 |
Ciara Kepner |
10 |
20:41 |
19:55 |
21:03 |
20:07 |
19:56 |
20:29 |
20:58 |
20:50 |
|
21:07 |
|
20:53 |
| 354 |
Jacqueline Hurlock |
12 |
21:00 |
20:51 |
21:02 |
20:45 |
21:05 |
21:15 |
21:06 |
|
|
20:46 |
|
|
| 418 |
Elise Herman |
11 |
21:14 |
20:32 |
20:36 |
21:22 |
20:07 |
|
|
21:22 |
|
22:08 |
|
|
| 451 |
Angelina Anglum |
12 |
21:19 |
22:08 |
21:14 |
|
21:05 |
21:24 |
21:12 |
21:31 |
21:21 |
|
|
|
| 565 |
Julianne McLean |
12 |
21:36 |
21:39 |
21:29 |
21:12 |
21:11 |
21:48 |
21:35 |
22:27 |
|
21:24 |
|
|
| 592 |
Diana Tekeste |
12 |
21:41 |
23:26 |
22:50 |
22:20 |
22:09 |
21:19 |
21:46 |
21:47 |
|
21:19 |
|
|
| 616 |
Daisy Dayberry |
10 |
21:45 |
23:00 |
22:06 |
21:50 |
21:59 |
22:15 |
22:12 |
22:41 |
|
21:23 |
|
|
| 794 |
Kate Evans |
9 |
22:15 |
|
22:21 |
22:27 |
22:00 |
22:12 |
22:01 |
24:43 |
|
21:52 |
|
|
| 851 |
Aubrey Berger |
9 |
22:23 |
|
22:09 |
23:28 |
22:58 |
22:06 |
22:26 |
22:08 |
|
|
|
|
| 916 |
Agibail Randolph |
10 |
22:31 |
23:47 |
22:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,031 |
Kayla Brinley |
10 |
22:45 |
|
22:03 |
22:27 |
22:49 |
|
23:03 |
23:01 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,157 |
Haley Johnson |
12 |
23:02 |
21:44 |
22:44 |
|
22:58 |
|
23:20 |
23:01 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,162 |
Gretta Johnson |
12 |
23:02 |
23:23 |
22:56 |
22:49 |
23:42 |
22:40 |
23:06 |
23:21 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,217 |
Latta Bryn |
11 |
23:11 |
22:33 |
23:24 |
23:40 |
23:01 |
22:44 |
23:34 |
23:02 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,242 |
Maggie Walters |
10 |
23:15 |
22:55 |
23:26 |
23:26 |
23:39 |
23:12 |
22:46 |
23:21 |
|
|
|
|
|
Evelyn Schenck |
10 |
23:30 |
23:18 |
23:13 |
23:45 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fay Montalvo |
11 |
24:12 |
|
|
24:41 |
|
24:24 |
23:41 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
99.1% |
8.4 |
281 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
5.5 |
10.0 |
14.0 |
12.8 |
11.4 |
10.0 |
8.3 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
4.2 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
2.8 |
99 |
17.2 |
32.5 |
23.6 |
14.7 |
8.0 |
3.1 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
28 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
23 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Maggie Powers |
100% |
17.7 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
5.2 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
6.2 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Elizabeth Butler |
99.6% |
67.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
60.0% |
92.8% |
| Addison Smith |
99.1% |
94.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.2% |
66.6% |
| Catey Campbell |
99.1% |
112.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.1% |
38.4% |
| Anaya Lammie |
99.1% |
135.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
8.1% |
| Grace Newton |
99.1% |
140.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
5.3% |
| Ava Powers |
99.1% |
151.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.2% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Maggie Powers |
100% |
3.6 |
0.0 |
1.5 |
27.5 |
32.3 |
16.8 |
9.5 |
6.2 |
3.3 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Elizabeth Butler |
100% |
15.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
3.2 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
6.7 |
7.4 |
8.0 |
7.6 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Addison Smith |
100% |
22.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
4.1 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Catey Campbell |
100% |
29.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Anaya Lammie |
100% |
44.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Grace Newton |
100% |
48.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Ava Powers |
100% |
58.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Maggie Powers |
100% |
1.5 |
0.1 |
94.6 |
5.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Elizabeth Butler |
100% |
3.6 |
|
0.0 |
13.8 |
57.1 |
18.4 |
7.2 |
2.3 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Addison Smith |
100% |
5.3 |
|
|
1.4 |
9.6 |
31.2 |
24.0 |
16.4 |
9.1 |
5.1 |
2.2 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Catey Campbell |
100% |
7.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
1.7 |
8.7 |
18.3 |
19.6 |
18.4 |
15.7 |
9.8 |
5.0 |
2.0 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Anaya Lammie |
100% |
10.3 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
4.7 |
8.5 |
12.4 |
17.5 |
19.1 |
17.4 |
11.5 |
5.4 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Grace Newton |
100% |
10.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
2.7 |
5.4 |
9.1 |
14.6 |
18.4 |
20.1 |
16.6 |
9.3 |
1.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ava Powers |
100% |
12.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
3.0 |
5.6 |
10.6 |
17.7 |
24.5 |
26.0 |
6.9 |
2.2 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Maggie Powers |
1.0 |
94.9 |
5.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Elizabeth Butler |
2.6 |
|
14.2 |
58.7 |
18.9 |
6.0 |
1.9 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Addison Smith |
4.2 |
|
1.2 |
9.8 |
34.8 |
27.5 |
17.5 |
7.2 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Catey Campbell |
5.6 |
|
0.1 |
1.6 |
9.8 |
23.0 |
26.5 |
24.9 |
9.8 |
3.0 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Anaya Lammie |
8.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6.8 |
14.8 |
27.1 |
24.8 |
16.0 |
6.6 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Grace Newton |
8.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
4.0 |
10.2 |
21.5 |
26.9 |
22.9 |
11.1 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ava Powers |
9.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
2.6 |
7.9 |
16.9 |
30.8 |
32.1 |
6.5 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
